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How to Talk About the Really Big One

This NPR interview is revealing in several ways.

I found the interview done this past week by KUOW, NPR with Kathryn Schulz, the author of the New Yorker article, The Really Big One was insightful in a number of ways. You can listen to it here, The Earthquake That Probably Won't Devastate Seattle

Some thoughts:

  • One of the sub-thoughts brought out in the article is that Seattle will be totally devastated, but as the KUOW story title shows--it is not true to that extent.
  • Yet, she quotes the FEMA Region X Administrator as saying, "Everything West of I-5 will be toast." It would have been better to clarify what he meant by that statement, rather than include it in the article. People take statements like that very literally.  
  • All of the information shared has been known for years. Seismologists, engineers and emergency managers could have written this same story years ago.  
  • No one is listening!!
  • Kathryn did make an interesting observation about emergency management readiness for catastrophic disasters. I don't think you need a huge event to have your team become better prepared for a disaster. Even the small ones get your systems tuned up. The difference with a catastrophic is the size and complexity along with the duration of the event, months not days.
  • As our own Washington State Emergency Management Division has stated, they were maxed out in responding to the 2014 HWY 530 slide, which was just a microcosm of the type of event that a Cascadia Earthquake would bring upon us.  
  • As someone pointed out to me, without local knowledge -- from the reporter, there are no preparedness messages in the story. No mention of the Cascadia 2016 exercise coming up in June of next year.
  • Basically there is no "context" to the content.
 

Eric Holdeman is a contributing writer for Emergency Management magazine and is the former director of the King County, Wash., Office of Emergency Management.
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